Game Result Predictions
Thursday, January 31

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bud Walton Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia
(18-12, Road 4-7)
80 69 +1.0 46% 139 67 +4.0 19%
Arkansas
(22-15, Home 11-7)
72 70 -1.0 54% Actual:
152 (13)
71 -4.0 81%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Curb Event Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Southeast Missouri
(11-17, Road 5-10)
57 55 +21.0 5% 131 50 +30.0 0%
Belmont
(26-7, Home 11-2)
91 76 -21.0 95% Actual:
148 (17)
80 -30.0 100%

Final/2OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Silvio Conte Forum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Duke
(15-15, Road 4-8)
90 69 +2.0 42% 140 74 -9.5 97%
Boston College
(14-16, Home 8-9)
92 71 -2.0 58% Actual:
182 (42)
65 +9.5 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Matadome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Cal State Fullerton
(13-16, Road 6-8)
44 54 +9.0 22% 117 50 +14.5 1%
Cal State Northridge
(16-15, Home 10-4)
74 63 -9.0 78% Actual:
118 (1)
65 -14.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Haas Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Stanford
(31-5, Road 10-3)
80 74 -7.0 73% 141 76 -13.5 99%
California
(20-13, Home 9-5)
81 67 +7.0 27% Actual:
161 (20)
63 +13.5 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CBU Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Utah Valley
(11-16, Road 3-10)
54 65 +16.0 10% 146 65 +15.5 0%
California Baptist
(14-12, Home 7-5)
83 81 -16.0 90% Actual:
137 (-9)
80 -15.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McKenzie Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Western Carolina
(2-26, Road 1-13)
58 50 +20.0 6% 120 46 +28.0 0%
Chattanooga
(13-17, Home 7-6)
72 70 -20.0 94% Actual:
130 (10)
74 -28.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Littlejohn Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Notre Dame
(35-4, Road 10-2)
101 86 -19.0 93% 153 87 -22.5 100%
Clemson
(20-13, Home 12-5)
63 67 +19.0 7% Actual:
164 (11)
64 +22.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Wolstein Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Detroit
(3-25, Road 2-14)
51 55 +15.0 11% 125 56 +11.5 2%
Cleveland State
(8-20, Home 5-7)
67 70 -15.0 89% Actual:
118 (-7)
67 -11.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Magness Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Dakota State
(28-7, Road 11-3)
83 86 -11.0 82% 161 91 -22.5 100%
Denver
(18-14, Home 13-2)
68 75 +11.0 18% Actual:
151 (-10)
68 +22.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Brooks Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UNCG
(7-19, Road 1-13)
76 66 +2.0 42% 134 62 +9.5 3%
East Tennessee State
(10-21, Home 8-5)
85 68 -2.0 58% Actual:
161 (27)
71 -9.5 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Lantz Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Kentucky
(0-27, Road 0-14)
60 54 +16.0 10% 124 55 +14.0 1%
Eastern Illinois
(8-18, Home 6-5)
80 70 -16.0 90% Actual:
140 (16)
69 -14.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Donald L. Tucker Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Miami (FL)
(25-9, Road 6-5)
58 66 +1.0 46% 133 65 +2.0 32%
Florida State
(24-9, Home 12-4)
62 67 -1.0 54% Actual:
120 (-13)
67 -2.0 68%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Timmons Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Samford
(8-20, Road 3-15)
36 54 +12.0 16% 120 51 +16.5 0%
Furman
(18-13, Home 11-2)
57 66 -12.0 84% Actual:
93 (-27)
68 -16.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Charles E. Smith Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Davidson
(16-15, Road 7-9)
62 58 -5.0 67% 111 54 +0.5 43%
George Washington
(10-20, Home 6-9)
42 53 +5.0 33% Actual:
104 (-7)
55 -0.5 57%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pete Mathews Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Murray State
(11-17, Road 3-11)
64 58 +6.0 30% 122 58 +4.5 16%
Jacksonville State
(14-15, Home 6-6)
59 64 -6.0 70% Actual:
123 (1)
63 -4.5 84%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
South Carolina
(23-10, Road 9-2)
74 67 +6.0 30% 140 69 +1.0 40%
Kentucky
(25-8, Home 15-3)
70 73 -6.0 70% Actual:
144 (4)
70 -1.0 60%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Tom Gola Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Fordham
(25-9, Road 8-5)
65 64 -15.0 89% 113 68 -25.5 100%
La Salle
(6-25, Home 3-9)
54 49 +15.0 11% Actual:
119 (6)
43 +25.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Cajundome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Appalachian State
(22-14, Road 6-10)
55 71 -6.0 70% 136 77 -18.0 100%
Louisiana
(7-22, Home 5-8)
73 65 +6.0 30% Actual:
128 (-8)
59 +18.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Thomas Assembly Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
FAU
(5-25, Road 1-12)
55 62 +19.0 7% 143 60 +21.0 0%
Louisiana Tech
(13-16, Home 7-5)
86 81 -19.0 93% Actual:
141 (-2)
81 -21.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
KFC Yum! Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Connecticut
(35-3, Road 12-2)
69 73 -3.0 61% 143 70 +0.5 42%
Louisville
(32-4, Home 15-1)
78 70 +3.0 39% Actual:
147 (4)
71 -0.5 58%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Gersten Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
BYU
(26-7, Road 9-5)
58 64 -3.0 61% 125 69 -14.0 99%
Loyola-Marymount
(18-15, Home 9-6)
61 61 +3.0 39% Actual:
119 (-6)
55 +14.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pete Maravich Assembly Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Mississippi State
(33-3, Road 13-1)
68 74 -18.0 92% 130 75 -21.5 100%
LSU
(16-13, Home 11-6)
35 56 +18.0 8% Actual:
103 (-27)
54 +21.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
XFINITY Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Wisconsin
(15-18, Road 1-10)
57 57 +18.0 8% 132 51 +29.5 0%
Maryland
(29-5, Home 15-2)
75 75 -18.0 92% Actual:
132 (0)
80 -29.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carmichael Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia Tech
(17-13, Road 3-8)
90 70 +4.0 36% 144 68 +6.5 9%
North Carolina
(18-15, Home 10-4)
91 74 -4.0 64% Actual:
181 (37)
75 -6.5 91%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
UNT Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Old Dominion
(21-11, Road 7-6)
72 62 +1.0 46% 125 61 +0.5 49%
North Texas
(15-16, Home 10-6)
71 63 -1.0 54% Actual:
143 (18)
62 -0.5 51%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Idaho
(22-12, Road 10-8)
88 81 -6.0 70% 156 82 -9.5 97%
Northern Arizona
(13-18, Home 7-6)
67 75 +6.0 30% Actual:
155 (-1)
73 +9.5 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
BB&T Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
IUPUI
(19-12, Road 9-7)
57 61 -7.0 73% 115 61 -8.0 95%
Northern Kentucky
(10-18, Home 7-4)
60 54 +7.0 27% Actual:
117 (2)
53 +8.0 5%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Welsh-Ryan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Minnesota
(21-11, Road 6-6)
61 60 +2.0 42% 122 58 +5.5 11%
Northwestern
(21-15, Home 12-5)
54 62 -2.0 58% Actual:
115 (-7)
63 -5.5 89%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Value City Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Illinois
(10-20, Road 2-9)
70 63 +5.0 33% 131 56 +17.0 0%
Ohio State
(14-15, Home 9-6)
78 68 -5.0 67% Actual:
148 (17)
73 -17.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Pavilion at Ole Miss Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Auburn
(21-10, Road 9-3)
64 69 -11.0 82% 127 71 -17.5 100%
Ole Miss
(9-22, Home 8-10)
51 58 +11.0 18% Actual:
115 (-12)
54 +17.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Alex G. Spanos Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Gonzaga
(29-5, Road 11-2)
63 74 -9.0 78% 139 77 -16.0 100%
Pacific
(19-13, Home 9-4)
51 65 +9.0 22% Actual:
114 (-25)
61 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Firestone Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
San Diego
(8-21, Road 2-11)
65 61 +17.0 9% 139 56 +25.0 0%
Pepperdine
(21-12, Home 9-1)
88 78 -17.0 91% Actual:
153 (14)
81 -25.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Petersen Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia Tech
(22-12, Road 4-6)
74 71 -14.0 88% 128 69 -10.0 97%
Pittsburgh
(11-20, Home 6-10)
58 57 +14.0 12% Actual:
132 (4)
59 +10.0 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Play4Kay - Viking Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Weber State
(5-25, Road 3-12)
38 52 +23.0 4% 127 47 +31.5 0%
Portland State
(24-8, Home 13-3)
65 75 -23.0 96% Actual:
103 (-24)
78 -31.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mackey Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Nebraska
(14-16, Road 5-9)
84 65 +3.0 39% 133 63 +4.5 16%
Purdue
(19-15, Home 13-4)
64 68 -3.0 61% Actual:
148 (15)
68 -4.5 84%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Tudor Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Charlotte
(18-13, Road 3-10)
51 48 +16.0 10% 112 46 +20.0 0%
Rice
(28-4, Home 13-0)
61 64 -16.0 90% Actual:
112 (0)
66 -20.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Rutgers Athletic Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Indiana
(21-13, Road 6-7)
64 58 +6.0 30% 122 58 +4.5 15%
Rutgers
(22-10, Home 13-2)
69 64 -6.0 70% Actual:
133 (11)
63 -4.5 85%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Nest Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Idaho State
(19-11, Road 9-6)
56 73 -11.0 82% 135 74 -14.5 99%
Sacramento State
(9-19, Home 4-9)
42 62 +11.0 18% Actual:
98 (-37)
59 +14.5 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Chaifetz Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
George Mason
(16-14, Road 6-9)
53 61 +4.0 36% 126 58 +10.0 3%
Saint Louis
(15-16, Home 9-6)
60 65 -4.0 64% Actual:
113 (-13)
68 -10.0 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McKeon Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Portland
(11-17, Road 5-8)
85 72 +15.0 11% 159 67 +23.5 0%
Saint Mary's College
(21-12, Home 10-5)
113 87 -15.0 89% Actual:
198 (39)
90 -23.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Vadalabene Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Morehead State
(22-11, Road 10-7)
73 71 -7.0 73% 135 71 -9.5 96%
SIUE
(12-16, Home 6-4)
67 64 +7.0 27% Actual:
140 (5)
62 +9.5 4%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reed Green Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
FIU
(5-23, Road 0-11)
57 51 +20.0 6% 122 49 +24.0 0%
Southern Miss
(16-14, Home 11-7)
71 71 -20.0 94% Actual:
128 (6)
73 -24.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
America First Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Washington
(12-20, Road 6-7)
63 65 +1.0 46% 131 70 -10.0 97%
Southern Utah
(8-23, Home 6-8)
73 66 -1.0 54% Actual:
136 (5)
60 +10.0 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carrier Dome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia
(12-19, Road 2-9)
68 57 +20.0 6% 134 56 +20.5 0%
Syracuse
(25-9, Home 12-4)
72 77 -20.0 94% Actual:
140 (6)
77 -20.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Thompson-Boling Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida
(8-23, Road 1-12)
50 61 +20.0 6% 142 61 +19.0 0%
Tennessee
(19-13, Home 10-7)
67 81 -20.0 94% Actual:
117 (-25)
80 -19.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Gentry Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee-Martin
(21-9, Road 7-7)
73 82 -17.0 91% 147 83 -21.0 100%
Tennessee State
(5-25, Home 3-7)
61 65 +17.0 9% Actual:
134 (-13)
62 +21.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hooper Eblen Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Austin Peay
(13-15, Road 4-10)
72 64 +8.0 24% 136 62 +10.5 3%
Tennessee Tech
(20-11, Home 10-3)
65 72 -8.0 76% Actual:
137 (1)
73 -10.5 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reed Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Vanderbilt
(7-23, Road 2-10)
53 56 +20.0 6% 132 47 +36.5 0%
Texas A&M
(26-8, Home 14-3)
69 76 -20.0 94% Actual:
122 (-10)
84 -36.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Long Beach State
(9-22, Road 3-10)
50 47 +25.0 3% 119 44 +30.0 0%
UC Davis
(24-7, Home 11-1)
70 72 -25.0 97% Actual:
120 (1)
74 -30.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bren Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UC Santa Barbara
(8-22, Road 1-13)
68 55 +13.0 14% 123 55 +11.5 2%
UC Irvine
(19-11, Home 9-4)
74 68 -13.0 86% Actual:
142 (19)
66 -11.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Fant-Ewing Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Coastal Carolina
(15-15, Road 6-6)
79 63 -6.0 70% 120 63 -6.0 90%
ULM
(8-19, Home 4-8)
54 57 +6.0 30% Actual:
133 (13)
57 +6.0 10%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Swinney Recreation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
New Mexico State
(24-7, Road 11-4)
90 73 +2.0 42% 148 82 -16.0 100%
UMKC
(14-15, Home 6-6)
86 75 -2.0 58% Actual:
176 (28)
66 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Don Haskins Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Marshall
(16-15, Road 6-9)
63 64 -2.0 58% 126 64 -3.0 74%
UTEP
(9-22, Home 4-11)
60 62 +2.0 42% Actual:
123 (-3)
61 +3.0 26%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
UTSA Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Western Kentucky
(18-15, Road 8-6)
81 75 -11.0 82% 139 80 -23.5 100%
UTSA
(5-21, Home 4-10)
62 64 +11.0 18% Actual:
143 (4)
57 +23.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Lawrence Joel Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina State
(28-6, Road 8-2)
59 68 -14.0 88% 122 75 -29.0 100%
Wake Forest
(10-20, Home 7-10)
50 54 +14.0 12% Actual:
109 (-13)
46 +29.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Mercer
(25-8, Road 10-3)
81 69 +1.0 46% 139 77 -17.0 100%
Wofford
(13-15, Home 9-1)
79 70 -1.0 54% Actual:
160 (21)
60 +17.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Nutter Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UIC
(3-26, Road 1-13)
47 46 +32.0 1% 124 38 +47.0 0%
Wright State
(26-7, Home 11-1)
72 78 -32.0 99% Actual:
119 (-5)
85 -47.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Beeghly Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Oakland
(4-24, Road 1-13)
61 54 +26.0 3% 134 55 +23.5 0%
Youngstown State
(20-10, Home 14-1)
76 80 -26.0 97% Actual:
137 (3)
78 -23.5 100%